Dollar Chart Setup Hints at Gains Before FOMC Announcement

Talking Points:

• US Dollar Setup Hints at Upcoming Recovery
• S&P 500 Attempting to Retake 1800.00 Figure
• Gold at Risk Ahead of FOMC Announcement

Can’t access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern above support at 10661, marked by the bottom of a rising channel set from November and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A break above initial resistance at 10718 – a horizontal pivot – targets the January high at 10756 and the channel top at 10781. Alternatively, reversing below support exposes the 38.2% Fib at 10602.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are bouncing from support at 1773.30, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a pair of rising trend lines set from November 2012 and October 2013. Near-term resistance lines up in the 1809.60-20.60 area, with a break above that exposing the January 15 high at 1851.40. Alternatively, a reversal below that initially exposes the 50% Fib at 1749.20.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern at 1267.71, a support-turned-resistance level set from early October, hinting a move lower is ahead. Initial support is at 1235.57, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that targeting the 38.2% level at 1208.88. A turn above 1267.71 eyes the January 27 high at 1278.72.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern, hinting at a top in place below the 98.00 figure. A break below support at 95.56, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, exposes the 38.2% level at 94.17. Alternatively, a close above the January 23 highat 97.81 invalidates the candle pattern and activates an alternate Fib setup, initially targeting 98.49.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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