Euro Looking for a Lifeline in Revised June Inflation Data
Talking Points:
- Euro May Rise if June’s Inflation Reading is Revised Upward
- Yen Gains as Aussie, NZ Dollars Fall on Fading Risk Appetite
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A revised set of June’s Eurozone CPI figures headlines an otherwise lackluster economic calendar in European trading hours. The benchmark year-on-year inflation rate is expected to register at 0.5 percent, in line with flash estimates.
Price growth readings from the common currency area have cautiously improved relative to expectations since the beginning of the year, according to data from Credit Suisse. That leaves the door open for an upside surprise, which may offer a boost the Euro after the currency slid to a one-month low against the US Dollar.
The Japanese Yen outperformed on safe-haven demand while the sentiment-sensitive Australian and New Zealand Dollars came under selling pressure as risk appetite unraveled in overnight trade. A singular catalyst for the move was not readily apparent. S&P 500 futures are pointing lower in late Asian trade however, hinting at more of the same ahead.
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Asia Session
GMT |
CCY |
EVENT |
ACT |
EXP |
PREV |
22:00 |
NZD |
ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) (JUN) |
5.7% |
- |
-4.8% |
0:00 |
AUD |
Conference Board Leading Index (MAY) |
0.2% |
- |
-0.2% |
1:00 |
NZD |
ANZ Consumer Confidence (MoM) (JUL) |
0.6% |
- |
3.4% |
1:00 |
NZD |
ANZ Consumer Confidence Index (JUL) |
132.7 |
- |
131.9 |
1:30 |
AUD |
NAB Business Confidence (2Q) |
6 |
- |
7 |
1:30 |
AUD |
RBA FX Transaction Market (A$) (JUN) |
1271M |
- |
489M |
1:30 |
AUD |
RBA FX Transactions Gov't (A$) (JUN) |
-1293M |
- |
-524M |
1:30 |
AUD |
RBA FX Transactions Other (A$) (JUN) |
39M |
- |
55M |
European Session
GMT |
CCY |
EVENT |
EXP |
PREV |
IMPACT |
6:00 |
EUR |
EU 25 New Car Registrations (JUN) |
- |
4.5% |
Low |
9:00 |
EUR |
Eurozone CPI (MoM) (JUN) |
0.1% |
-0.1% |
Medium |
9:00 |
EUR |
Eurozone CPI (YoY) (JUN F) |
0.5% |
0.5% |
Medium |
9:00 |
EUR |
Eurozone CPI - Core (YoY) (JUN F) |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Medium |
9:00 |
EUR |
Eurozone Construction Output (MoM) (MAY) |
- |
0.8% |
Low |
9:00 |
EUR |
Eurozone Construction Output (YoY) (MAY) |
- |
8.0% |
Low |
Critical Levels
CCY |
Supp 3 |
Supp 2 |
Supp 1 |
Pivot Point |
Res 1 |
Res 2 |
Res 3 |
EURUSD |
1.3436 |
1.3488 |
1.3507 |
1.3540 |
1.3559 |
1.3592 |
1.3644 |
GBPUSD |
1.7060 |
1.7097 |
1.7117 |
1.7134 |
1.7154 |
1.7171 |
1.7208 |
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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